January 28th, 2013

Four Tech-Related Trends That Will Shape 2013

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Category Apps, Mobile Access
 

Mike Amundsen 2013 PredictionsLooking ahead, here are four tech-related trends that I think will shape the coming year. These are trends I noticed were already in flight during late 2012. I believe they will continue to affect the way we design and implement solutions in 2013.

As you’ll see, all of my predictions are driven by the relentless increase of connected mobile devices. This is the dominating overall trend that will continue to affect all aspects of information systems.

In a nutshell, I predict:

  • Individual service deployments on the Web will get smaller and more numerous
  • Mobile client deployment will be a bottleneck
  • Server mash-ups will increase but client mash-ups will decline
  • The demand for seamless switching between personal devices will increase

Services on the Web Get Smaller, More Numerous
Influenced by the existence of the many mobile apps running on a single device, Web-based services will become small, single-focused offerings that (in the words of Doug Mcllroy) “do one thing and do it well.” This will also explode the number of available services. The advantage of this trend will be an increase in the agility and evolvability of service offerings. The challenge will be an increased need for governance at the “micro-service” level.

Mobile Client Deployment Becomes a Bottleneck
As more services appear on the Web and more mobile devices spread throughout the world, keeping up with mobile app deployment will become more difficult and more costly. This is especially true for cases where an app store requires approval before release. To mitigate this problem, developers and architects will look for new ways to update and modify the functionality of already-installed mobile apps without the need for full-on redeployment. Solutions will include use of in-message hypermedia designs, reliance on remote discovery documents and just-in-time plug-in style implementations.

Server-Side Mash-Ups Increase while Client-Side Mash-Ups Decline
The increasing popularity of languages like Node.js, Erlang and Closure will make implementing server-side mash-ups more efficient and easier to maintain than doing the same work within a client application; especially for the mobile platform. This will reduce the “chattiness” of client-side applications and increase the security and flexibility of server-side implementations. The result will be a perceived increase in responsiveness and a reduced use of battery power on mobile apps.

Multiple Device Form Factors Will Demand Seamless Sharing
As more users access content on multiple devices, there will be an increased need to design apps that seamlessly share user data across these devices. This will affect the both client- and server-side implementation details. Identity will need to cross devices easily and content syncing will need to be seamless and automatic. App builders will rely more on the “responsive design” pattern in order to automatically adjust displays and functionality to meet the needs of the current form factor. Servers will need to be “context-aware” and provide the most up-to-date content while users switch from one device to the next.

Finally, whether my predictions are spot on or way off, I look forward to a very interesting and challenging 2013.

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